Trump Victory Comes Into View

THE LEAD-IN: While the election seems to be on a razor s edge, I argue that an Electoral College win for Donald Trump is coming into view. Yes, polls of the national popular vote have Vice President Kamala Harris ahead, although she is ahead by less than Hillary Clinton was in 2016. But this is an election of fifty states and Trump is consolidating his position in swing states.

Of the Republican-leaning swing states that Trump must win Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina he leads in the RealClearPolitics average of polls. Beyond those, he must win only either Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, or Michigan to win the presidency. Winning two or three would be great, but he only needs one.

In Pennsylvania, the last four major polls have Trump tied or leading by a point or two.

In Wisconsin, the most recent poll had him up a point although most previous polls had him down a point.

via capitalistnotes.substack.com

Christian Whiton.