Final forecast: Biden is favored, but… HotAir

Now, there are also some sources of error that weren t as relevant four years ago. The big surge in early and mail voting around 100 million people have already voted! could present challenges to pollsters, for instance. Still, even making what we think are fairly conservative assumptions, our final forecast has Biden with an 89 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, as compared to a 10 percent chance for Trump.

via hotair.com

Nate Silver.