Key coronavirus forecast predicts over 410,000 total U.S. deaths by Jan. 1

The worst is yet to come. I don t think perhaps that s a surprise, although I think there s a natural tendency as we re a little bit in the Northern hemisphere summer, to think maybe the epidemic is going away,  Dr. Christopher Murray, director of IHME, told reporters on a conference call Friday.

IHME released three projections based on different assumptions: a worst-case scenario, a best-case scenario and a most likely scenario. The most likely scenario estimates that Covid-19 will kill 410,450 people in the U.S. by Jan. 1. The worst-case scenario, which assumes that restrictions and mask directives will ease, projects up to 620,028 people in the U.S. will die by then and the best-case scenario, which assumes universal masking, predicts that 288,380 people in the U.S. will die from Covid-19 in 2020.

via www.cnbc.com

Have any of these models been right so far? Honest question.