Hispanic Voters on the Eve of the 2022 Election

In 2020, the Democratic advantage among Hispanic voters declined by 16 points relative to 2016. On the eve of the 2022 election, that advantage is set to decline substantially once again.

This is obviously bad for the Democrats immediate electoral prospects. But it also cuts the ground out from under their leading electoral theory of the case: that the rising American electorate , with a starring role for the burgeoning ranks of minority voters, will deliver them victories in the future. It is overwhelmingly Hispanics who are driving the increase in the nonwhite population and if they continue moving toward the GOP as they are and in a big way the whole theory falls apart.

It is becoming clearer and clearer that Democrats have seriously erred by lumping Hispanics in with people of color and assuming they embraced a litany of liberal causes around race and other issues that are dear to the hearts of Democratic activists. This was a flawed assumption. In reality, Hispanic voters are overwhelmingly an upwardly mobile, patriotic population with practical and down to earth concerns focused on jobs, the economy, health care, effective schools and public safety.

In short, they are normie voters. And like other normie voters, if they feel Democrats are falling short on the things normie voters care about, they are more than willing to punish the party they hold responsible.

via theliberalpatriot.substack.com

Mucho correcto and a good thing too. I would certainly rather be governed by a randomly chosen group of 500 denizens of Chula Vista (a largely Hispanic area of SD County) than the faculty of UCSD, my own formerly cute university, or the voters of La Jolla.