The Case For A Republican Sweep On Election Night | FiveThirtyEight
Republicans reached a milestone on Tuesday, surpassing a 50 percent chance of a Senate takeover in our Deluxe forecast for the first time since July 25. Still, the race for the Senate is about as close as it gets. So I thought it might be worth engaging in a dialog with my alter egos.
Today, you ll meet Nathan Redd. He ll try to convince me that the Republican outlook is even better than our model shows. Then later this week, we ll introduce you to Nathaniel Bleu.1
Yes, he spells his last name the French way.
While fairly partisan, Redd and Bleu are canny observers of politics who are reasonably numerate. Last night, I met with Redd at a bar near Grand Central Station before his commute back to Connecticut. An abridged transcript follows:
Nate Silver.