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COVID-19: New York Will Be The Next Italy, But Doesn t Have to Be

Analysis strongly suggests that the NYC metro area has 5 10 days to quarantine the city or face dramatically overwhelmed hospitals, extremely high death rates, and a ruined economy.

The outlook for NYC and COVID-19 is bleak. The policy response is far too slow and too weak to meet the needs of the moment.

This note started as a twitter post on Wednesday March 11.

I ve attached updated charts with two additional days of data to this note.

via medium.com

I don’t know if this bleak prediction is going to come true. I don’t know whether the writer is an authority. It looks legit, but you have to make your own judgment.