Flattening the Curve is a deadly delusion – Joscha Bach – Medium

The brown line near the bottom: that s our limited supply of ventilators and intensive care beds! The red curve does not contain all cases of COVID-19, but only those 6% that will die if we cannot put them on a ventilator for something like four weeks. In this scenario, it means that the maximum number of cases needing care on the same day, without any kind of mitigation, is around 3 million! It s clear that we need to desperately flatten this curve, because it means that for much of the year, the vast majority of cases will not even get assessed for intubation and critical care.

via medium.com

I don’t know if this analysis is good or not. I am sure that Bruce Aylward is China’ed up, and I think he’s totally unreliable, so that suggests discounting this analysis somewhat. If the writer is correct, it doesn’t change what we here on the ground need to do. Socially distance, etc., etc. It also means more in our social group are going to die. I hope he’s wrong but it’s best to know what the worst would be. I wonder if this is the analysis behind what the UK is up to, or is it just sheer politics and incompetence?