Norway health chief: lockdown was not needed to tame Covid | The Spectator
But the Norwegian public health authority has published a report with a striking conclusion: the virus was never spreading as fast as had been feared and was already on the way out when lockdown was ordered. It looks as if the effective reproduction rate had already dropped to around 1.1 when the most comprehensive measures were implemented on 12 March, and that there would not be much to push it down below 1& We have seen in retrospect that the infection was on its way down. Here s the graph, with the R-number on the right-hand scale:
Oops.