Trump Again Will Outperform the Polls in Pennsylvania | RealClearPolitics
First, Trump always outperforms the polls. He will do so in Pennsylvania again.
Second, the enthusiasm gap is wide and growing. Trump s voters will turn out, just as they did in this year s primary, when Pennsylvania Republicans showed up in force, even though there were no statewide contests on their ballots. They wanted to vote for Trump. This year, it s Trump voters, not Democrats, who are marking days off their calendars leading up to Election Day.
Third, the Philadelphia suburbs may not go as far left as Biden believes. Violent crime and urban riots are worrying suburbanites, especially women, who have wavered on Trump. Likewise, Biden s proposed huge tax increases would hit suburban pocketbooks hard.
Finally, presidential elections usually show a significant swing after Labor Day — and the trend right now is running in Trump s direction. It will be an all-out battle in the Keystone State. Memo the Biden campaign: I know a lady in central Pennsylvania you can cross off your list.